Rising value, shifting habits and the arrival of “supercompetitors”: How new business models and entrants, and changing consumption preferences are affecting media content production, distribution, access and value.
The disruption of the media industry, with the rise of social media, the digitization of content and the increase in mobile consumption has changed traditional funding models beyond recognition.
The role of media historically has been central to the making of society and the construction of identity. At this dark moment for humanity, threatened by COVID-19 with many people physically isolated, this role is vital in the search for information, stories and art to feed the human spirit and ignite the imagination to overcome the challenges ahead.
This report considers how different stakeholders in media – content creators, advertisers, marketing agencies and individual consumers – each value media content. By analysing this dynamic, the industry – and consumers – can make informed decisions about the future.
In an age of fake news and misinformation, good quality content is more valuable than ever. So who’s creating it, who’s paying for it and who's controlling its production?
History provides some context. In the UK the development of the liberal media prior to the 1950s was characterized by a paternalistic model. There was a clear hierarchy when it came to the control of information: in his first five years as editor of the BBC’s cultural weekly magazine from 1929-34, R.S. Lambert was not allowed to see his magazine’s circulation figures in case this "distorted" his editorial judgement.
This model eventually gave way to a popular, audience-driven mass media in the 1980s, when the idea of the media as a source of popular pleasure took root.
Today, as more content is distributed via social platforms and the division between content creators and content consumers is blurred, technology companies – or “supercompetitors” – are taking greater responsibility for guaranteeing the quality and integrity of information. Perhaps as a reaction to this and with a bizarre nod to pre-1950s paternalism, there is a rising call for governments and regulators to take a more proactive role in the production and dissemination of news (although not entertainment) to ensure equitable access to information.
COVID-19: the disruption of the century
The massive disruptions witnessed in the first quarter of 2020 have put a spotlight on the findings of this report.
The current coronavirus challenge only emphasizes the indispensable role that media play in society today. With the value of content growing, the industry needs financial models that enable them to fulfil their social functions while still supporting widespread access to critical content. This can’t happen in isolation: it requires dialogue, including with regulators, to find solutions that balance innovation, consumer welfare and corporate responsibility of every stakeholder in the media industry.
— Kirstine Stewart, Head of Shaping the Future of Media, Entertainment and Culture, World Economic Forum
The impact of the novel coronavirus on the media is mixed. The cancellation of flagship global events, such as the Tokyo Olympics, will disrupt programming, advertising, sponsorship deals and promotional events. According to the New York Times, in 1980, when the United States boycotted the Moscow Olympics, broadcaster NBC lost $34 million despite having insurance.
On a more positive note, the increase in consumption due to self-isolation and quarantine has boosted demand for media. After China implemented nationwide isolation measures, average weekly downloads of apps during the first two weeks of February jumped by 40% compared with the average for the whole of 2019, according to the Financial Times. In the same month, weekly game downloads on Apple devices had increased by 80% compared to 2019.
The findings of this report are based on a survey, conducted for the World Economic Forum by Nielsen, which asked over 9,100 people in China, Germany, India, South Korea, the United Kingdom and the United States about their media consumption and payment habits and preferences. In addition, the Forum consulted around 100 executives from advertising, entertainment, news and other parts of the media industry about business strategies to attract and retain consumers – along with the implications these could have for society.
The most apparent trends point to worrying information inequality based on income alongside the rise and rise of the tech supercompetitor:
In an industry characterized by disruption, understanding how content creators, consumers and advertisers value media is key. Surveying consumers about their media consumption and payment preferences has been balanced by studying strategies adopted by media businesses and advertisers to improve their value propositions. This report paints a holistic picture of the media landscape – not just in terms of financial sustainability, but also in assessing the value of content to society. The information is indispensable to business and political leaders thinking about the ideal role media should play in people's lives.
Current patterns are more dynamic and responsive in reaching desired audiences, but a greater share of budget now goes to the providers of the tools as opposed to the providers of content. But consumers are wary. A survey by Deloitte found that almost half of American consumers are frustrated by the streaming explosion in entertainment and are likely to pay for only one online news subscription.
The revenue systems are a key driver of the balance of media power. The private sector and large advertisers are shaping the media environment, while it appears that the policy-makers are struggling to keep up. Consumer brands like Procter & Gamble and Unilever, for example, are pushing for improvements themselves in viewability and a reduction of fraudulent activity online.
Considering the important question of who should be responsible for funding the production of content, the survey suggests that consumers expect governments to take a bigger role in supporting access to news than entertainment: 35% versus 18% respectively.
As these trends play out in an increasingly dynamic environment, media companies are pursuing strategies to attract and retain paying consumers. This includes the so-called supercompetitors. These companies use content to drive value to other parts of their businesses. In doing so, they create opportunities and challenges for the industry – but the precise impacts are unknown. It’s time to study the potential effects and think about how regulation could be used to balance innovation, consumer welfare and corporate responsibility more effectively.
Today’s coronavirus-related disruption may be unprecedented, but the media industry has been upended many times before. What has stayed constant throughout is the indispensable role that media play in society. Media don’t just help pass the time; they keep people informed. Increasingly, media create shared cultural moments and capture identity. We need a more dynamic measure to calculate the real value of media to society.
Access to or quality of content is better than ever. But while destination media compete to become leaders in their specific areas, the tech giants are working out how to use media to monopolize time, spend and data. What will be the impact of the strategies of the tech giants on the overall media landscape?
The poet and novelist, Ben Okri, writes, “It may well be that it is not only self-isolation and science that saves us. We may also be saved by laughter, by catharsis, by the optimism of being able to see beyond these times, with stories, with community, with songs.”
In the absence of real contact, interaction and the consumption of experience is now mostly mediated. The value and integrity of media has never been more relevant.